Ammunition Components & Ballistics Manufacturing worked example

Ammunition Component Supplier Risk Score with field-failure severity of a bad component of 20 score: a worked example

Push field-failure severity of a bad component up to 20 score and the picture changes. This example computes every intermediate figure at that operating point. a procurement or quality team needs to prioritize supplier risk for component availability or quality

The inputs for this scenario

  • Field-failure severity of a bad component: 20 score (raised for this scenario; the documented default is 8)
  • Likelihood the supplier ships a defect: 5 score (unchanged)
  • Weakness of incoming inspection to catch it: 4 score (unchanged)

Working through the calculation

  • Applying the documented formula (Supplier planning risk score = supplier impact severity × supplier occurrence likelihood × incoming detection weakness score) to the inputs above produces each figure below.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 10.75 risk score for supplier planning risk score, the number this scenario is built around.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 20 score for supplier impact severity.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 5 score for supplier occurrence likelihood.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 4 score for incoming detection weakness score.

How this compares with the baseline

  • Against the tool's baseline example, where field-failure severity of a bad component sits at 8 score and the headline result is 5.95 risk score, this scenario comes in 80.67% above the baseline at 10.75 risk score.
  • It multiplies severity, occurrence, and detection scores into a single relative risk priority number for one supplier or component. The value of this scenario is the size of the gap it exposes: that gap, priced out over a year, is the budget you can justify spending to close it.

Results at a glance

  • Supplier planning risk score: 10.75 risk score (headline result)
  • Supplier impact severity: 20 score
  • Supplier occurrence likelihood: 5 score
  • Incoming detection weakness score: 4 score

Run it with your numbers

  • Every input above is editable in the live Ammunition Component Supplier Risk Score calculator, which recalculates instantly and can be shared with the inputs intact.

Last reviewed 2026-05-12.