Bicycles, E-Bikes & Micromobility worked example

Demand Ramp Planner at 59% expected line uptime during ramp: a worked example in bicycles, e-bikes & micromobility

This worked example runs the demand ramp planner numbers for a tougher week than the baseline: 59% expected line uptime during ramp instead of the typical 82%. Estimate good vehicle output available during a bicycle, e-bike, scooter, or fleet launch ramp using planned build cycles, uptime, and yield.

The inputs for this scenario

  • Vehicles built per ramp cycle: 35 vehicles / cycle (held at the documented default)
  • Ramp cycles available in the plan: 20 cycles (held at the documented default)
  • Expected line uptime during ramp: 59 % (the input this scenario stresses; the baseline uses 82)
  • Launch first-pass yield: 90 % (held at the documented default)

Working through the calculation

  • The calculation starts from the formula this tool documents: Gross ramp build plan = vehicles planned per ramp cycle × available ramp cycles.
  • Good ramp output works out to 372 vehicles at these inputs, and this is the headline figure for the scenario.
  • Gross ramp build plan works out to 700 vehicles at these inputs.
  • Ramp output lost to downtime works out to 287 vehicles at these inputs.
  • Ramp output lost to launch defects works out to 41.3 vehicles at these inputs.

How this compares with the baseline

  • Against the tool's baseline example, where expected line uptime during ramp sits at 82% and the headline result is 517 vehicles, this scenario comes in 28.05% below the baseline at 372 vehicles.
  • Use it during launch and capacity planning for a new model, when committing ramp volumes to sales, or when stress-testing whether more cycles or better yield closes a gap. A result at this level usually justifies acting on the stressed input before touching anything else, because every other figure in the table is downstream of it.

Results at a glance

  • Good ramp output: 372 vehicles (headline result)
  • Gross ramp build plan: 700 vehicles
  • Ramp output lost to downtime: 287 vehicles
  • Ramp output lost to launch defects: 41.3 vehicles

Run it with your numbers

  • To rerun this with your own numbers, open the live Demand Ramp Planner calculator, set expected line uptime during ramp to your actual value, and adjust the remaining inputs to match your operation.

Last reviewed 2026-05-12.