Dairy & Frozen Food Manufacturing worked example

Distribution Melt Risk with temperature-abuse severity score of 15 score: a worked example

Push temperature-abuse severity score up to 15 score and the picture changes. This example computes every intermediate figure at that operating point. Use it when distribution melt risk in dairy and frozen food manufacturing needs a defensible ranking against other dairy and frozen food manufacturing risks for the next review.

The inputs for this scenario

  • Temperature-abuse severity score: 15 score (raised for this scenario; the documented default is 6)
  • Melt or excursion likelihood score: 4 score (unchanged)
  • Cold-chain detection control score: 3 score (unchanged)

Working through the calculation

  • Applying the documented formula (Distribution melt risk score = temperature-abuse severity × melt or excursion likelihood × cold-chain detection control) to the inputs above produces each figure below.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 8.15 score for distribution melt risk score, the number this scenario is built around.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 15 score for temperature-abuse severity.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 4 score for melt or excursion likelihood.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 3 score for cold-chain detection control.

How this compares with the baseline

  • Against the tool's baseline example, where temperature-abuse severity score sits at 6 score and the headline result is 4.55 score, this scenario comes in 79.12% above the baseline at 8.15 score.
  • It computes a single multiplicative risk score by multiplying temperature-abuse severity, melt or excursion likelihood, and cold-chain detection control on a shared scale. The value of this scenario is the size of the gap it exposes: that gap, priced out over a year, is the budget you can justify spending to close it.

Results at a glance

  • Distribution melt risk score: 8.15 score (headline result)
  • Temperature-abuse severity: 15 score
  • Melt or excursion likelihood: 4 score
  • Cold-chain detection control: 3 score

Run it with your numbers

  • Every input above is editable in the live Distribution Melt Risk calculator, which recalculates instantly and can be shared with the inputs intact.

Last reviewed 2026-05-12.