Manufacturing Project Portfolio & Capex worked example

Capital Request Score with severity if the capital need is unmet of 15 score: a worked example

What does the result look like when severity if the capital need is unmet reaches 15 score? The full calculation is worked below with real intermediate numbers. Use it when capital request in manufacturing project portfolio and capex needs a defensible ranking against other manufacturing project portfolio and capex risks for the next review.

The inputs for this scenario

  • Severity if the capital need is unmet: 15 score (raised for this scenario; the documented default is 6)
  • Likelihood the risk occurs: 4 score (unchanged)
  • Detectability before impact: 3 score (unchanged)

Working through the calculation

  • Applying the documented formula (Capital request risk score = capital request severity score × capital request occurrence score × capital request detection score) to the inputs above produces each figure below.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 8.15 score for capital request risk score, the number this scenario is built around.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 15 score for capital request severity score.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 4 score for capital request occurrence score.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 3 score for capital request detection score.

How this compares with the baseline

  • Against the tool's baseline example, where severity if the capital need is unmet sits at 6 score and the headline result is 4.55 score, this scenario comes in 79.12% above the baseline at 8.15 score.
  • A figure at this level is achievable when severity if the capital need is unmet is genuinely sustained, not just peaked for a shift. Multiplicative scores are coarse — very different risk profiles can yield the same number, and a low detection rating can mask a catastrophic severity, so always read the three ratings, not just the product.

Results at a glance

  • Capital request risk score: 8.15 score (headline result)
  • Capital request severity score: 15 score
  • Capital request occurrence score: 4 score
  • Capital request detection score: 3 score

Run it with your numbers

  • Every input above is editable in the live Capital Request Score calculator, which recalculates instantly and can be shared with the inputs intact.

Last reviewed 2026-05-12.