Microgrid & Distributed Energy Equipment worked example

Supplier Shortage Exposure with shortage impact severity of 15 score: a worked example in microgrid & distributed energy equipment

What does the result look like when shortage impact severity reaches 15 score? The full calculation is worked below with real intermediate numbers. Use it when supplier shortage risk on microgrid and distributed energy components needs a defensible ranking for the next sourcing or risk review.

The inputs for this scenario

  • Shortage impact severity: 15 score (raised for this scenario; the documented default is 6)
  • Shortage likelihood: 4 score (unchanged)
  • Detection and early warning: 3 score (unchanged)

Working through the calculation

  • Applying the documented formula (Supplier shortage risk score = impact severity × shortage likelihood × detection and early warning) to the inputs above produces each figure below.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 8.15 score for supplier shortage risk score, the number this scenario is built around.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 15 score for shortage impact severity.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 4 score for shortage likelihood.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 3 score for detection and early warning.

How this compares with the baseline

  • Against the tool's baseline example, where shortage impact severity sits at 6 score and the headline result is 4.55 score, this scenario comes in 79.12% above the baseline at 8.15 score.
  • A figure at this level is achievable when shortage impact severity is genuinely sustained, not just peaked for a shift. It is a relative ranking tool, not a probability forecast; the three inputs are judgment-based, so consistency of scale across parts matters more than the absolute value.

Results at a glance

  • Supplier shortage risk score: 8.15 score (headline result)
  • Shortage impact severity: 15 score
  • Shortage likelihood: 4 score
  • Detection and early warning: 3 score

Run it with your numbers

  • Every input above is editable in the live Supplier Shortage Exposure calculator, which recalculates instantly and can be shared with the inputs intact.

Last reviewed 2026-05-12.