Single-Use Bioprocess Assemblies worked example

Supplier Shortage Risk with shortage impact severity of 15 score: a worked example in single-use bioprocess assemblies

Push shortage impact severity up to 15 score and the picture changes. This example computes every intermediate figure at that operating point. Use it when supplier shortage risk in single-use bioprocess assemblies needs a defensible ranking against other single-use bioprocess assemblies risks for the next review.

The inputs for this scenario

  • Shortage impact severity (1-10): 15 score (raised for this scenario; the documented default is 6)
  • Shortage occurrence likelihood (1-10): 4 score (unchanged)
  • Shortage detectability (1-10): 3 score (unchanged)

Working through the calculation

  • Applying the documented formula (Supplier shortage risk score = supplier shortage risk severity score × supplier shortage risk occurrence score × supplier shortage risk detection score) to the inputs above produces each figure below.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 8.15 score for supplier shortage risk score, the number this scenario is built around.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 15 score for supplier shortage risk severity score.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 4 score for supplier shortage risk occurrence score.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 3 score for supplier shortage risk detection score.

How this compares with the baseline

  • Against the tool's baseline example, where shortage impact severity sits at 6 score and the headline result is 4.55 score, this scenario comes in 79.12% above the baseline at 8.15 score.
  • It multiplies severity, occurrence, and detection scores to produce a single supplier shortage risk priority number. The value of this scenario is the size of the gap it exposes: that gap, priced out over a year, is the budget you can justify spending to close it.

Results at a glance

  • Supplier shortage risk score: 8.15 score (headline result)
  • Supplier shortage risk severity score: 15 score
  • Supplier shortage risk occurrence score: 4 score
  • Supplier shortage risk detection score: 3 score

Run it with your numbers

  • Every input above is editable in the live Supplier Shortage Risk calculator, which recalculates instantly and can be shared with the inputs intact.

Last reviewed 2026-05-12.