Tube, Pipe & Profile Forming worked example
Swage Force Estimate with swage defect severity rating of 15 score: a worked example
Push swage defect severity rating up to 15 score and the picture changes. This example computes every intermediate figure at that operating point. Use it when swage force estimate in tube, pipe and profile forming needs a defensible ranking against other tube, pipe and profile forming risks for the next review.
The inputs for this scenario
- Swage defect severity rating: 15 score (raised for this scenario; the documented default is 6)
- Swage defect occurrence rating: 4 score (unchanged)
- Swage defect detection rating: 3 score (unchanged)
Working through the calculation
- Applying the documented formula (Swage Force Estimate risk score = severity × 0.40 + occurrence × 0.35 + detection × 0.25) to the inputs above produces each figure below.
- At this operating point the engine returns 8.15 score for risk score, the number this scenario is built around.
- At this operating point the engine returns 15 score for severity.
- At this operating point the engine returns 4 score for occurrence.
- At this operating point the engine returns 3 score for detection.
How this compares with the baseline
- Against the tool's baseline example, where swage defect severity rating sits at 6 score and the headline result is 4.55 score, this scenario comes in 79.12% above the baseline at 8.15 score.
- It computes a weighted swaging risk score as severity times 0.40 plus occurrence times 0.35 plus detection times 0.25. The value of this scenario is the size of the gap it exposes: that gap, priced out over a year, is the budget you can justify spending to close it.
Results at a glance
- Risk score: 8.15 score (headline result)
- Severity: 15 score
- Occurrence: 4 score
- Detection: 3 score
Run it with your numbers
- Every input above is editable in the live Swage Force Estimate calculator, which recalculates instantly and can be shared with the inputs intact.
Last reviewed 2026-05-12.