{
  "name": "U.S. Manufacturing Calculated-Duty Estimate",
  "version": "2.0.0",
  "description": "USITC Calculated Duties summed across a constant 36-family manufacturing panel, monthly since 2014-01. This is a statistical estimate, not a cash-collections ledger or total U.S. customs revenue. USITC DataWeb public data.",
  "url": "https://www.mfgcalcs.com/signals/tariff-bill",
  "asOf": "2026-06",
  "panelFamilies": 36,
  "unit": "USD (USITC Calculated Duties estimate)",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "attribution": "MFG Calcs (mfgcalcs.com), compiled from USITC DataWeb open data",
  "latest": {
    "period": "2026-06",
    "calcDuty": 3747031554,
    "customsValue": 25550984107,
    "effectiveRatePct": 14.66
  },
  "yoyPct": 10,
  "trailing12DutyUsd": 47335701867,
  "billYear": "2025",
  "pointCount": 150,
  "points": [
    {
      "period": "2014-01",
      "calcDuty": 171628670,
      "customsValue": 15831825436,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.08
    },
    {
      "period": "2014-02",
      "calcDuty": 156197762,
      "customsValue": 15292817984,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.02
    },
    {
      "period": "2014-03",
      "calcDuty": 175152418,
      "customsValue": 17490911366,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1
    },
    {
      "period": "2014-04",
      "calcDuty": 181697495,
      "customsValue": 17972971950,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.01
    },
    {
      "period": "2014-05",
      "calcDuty": 183273623,
      "customsValue": 18127966646,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.01
    },
    {
      "period": "2014-06",
      "calcDuty": 185472792,
      "customsValue": 18222979821,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.02
    },
    {
      "period": "2014-07",
      "calcDuty": 188837583,
      "customsValue": 18626768396,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.01
    },
    {
      "period": "2014-08",
      "calcDuty": 188330971,
      "customsValue": 18130808209,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.04
    },
    {
      "period": "2014-09",
      "calcDuty": 187865515,
      "customsValue": 18337308792,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.02
    },
    {
      "period": "2014-10",
      "calcDuty": 197295445,
      "customsValue": 19180306973,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.03
    },
    {
      "period": "2014-11",
      "calcDuty": 171571449,
      "customsValue": 17171467570,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1
    },
    {
      "period": "2014-12",
      "calcDuty": 177050977,
      "customsValue": 17311642665,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.02
    },
    {
      "period": "2015-01",
      "calcDuty": 179035138,
      "customsValue": 17691276420,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.01
    },
    {
      "period": "2015-02",
      "calcDuty": 154850144,
      "customsValue": 15834044784,
      "effectiveRatePct": 0.98
    },
    {
      "period": "2015-03",
      "calcDuty": 216162309,
      "customsValue": 19707735820,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.1
    },
    {
      "period": "2015-04",
      "calcDuty": 195515170,
      "customsValue": 18625820711,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.05
    },
    {
      "period": "2015-05",
      "calcDuty": 185410274,
      "customsValue": 17569422594,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.06
    },
    {
      "period": "2015-06",
      "calcDuty": 184467040,
      "customsValue": 18008146441,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.02
    },
    {
      "period": "2015-07",
      "calcDuty": 181666887,
      "customsValue": 17241104749,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.05
    },
    {
      "period": "2015-08",
      "calcDuty": 173183613,
      "customsValue": 16131654317,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.07
    },
    {
      "period": "2015-09",
      "calcDuty": 168904927,
      "customsValue": 16163340062,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.04
    },
    {
      "period": "2015-10",
      "calcDuty": 173451739,
      "customsValue": 16579772762,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.05
    },
    {
      "period": "2015-11",
      "calcDuty": 155922362,
      "customsValue": 15108687740,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.03
    },
    {
      "period": "2015-12",
      "calcDuty": 160903348,
      "customsValue": 15344402798,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.05
    },
    {
      "period": "2016-01",
      "calcDuty": 156295546,
      "customsValue": 14615612639,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.07
    },
    {
      "period": "2016-02",
      "calcDuty": 161329454,
      "customsValue": 14988125340,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.08
    },
    {
      "period": "2016-03",
      "calcDuty": 164217340,
      "customsValue": 16213109153,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.01
    },
    {
      "period": "2016-04",
      "calcDuty": 161971272,
      "customsValue": 15847262241,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.02
    },
    {
      "period": "2016-05",
      "calcDuty": 163627915,
      "customsValue": 15763638583,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.04
    },
    {
      "period": "2016-06",
      "calcDuty": 166305122,
      "customsValue": 16434109975,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.01
    },
    {
      "period": "2016-07",
      "calcDuty": 159708317,
      "customsValue": 15285749146,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.04
    },
    {
      "period": "2016-08",
      "calcDuty": 171082880,
      "customsValue": 16530820822,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.03
    },
    {
      "period": "2016-09",
      "calcDuty": 159662351,
      "customsValue": 15475061124,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.03
    },
    {
      "period": "2016-10",
      "calcDuty": 163934454,
      "customsValue": 15986116624,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.03
    },
    {
      "period": "2016-11",
      "calcDuty": 159329750,
      "customsValue": 15829331032,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.01
    },
    {
      "period": "2016-12",
      "calcDuty": 159097993,
      "customsValue": 15418497742,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.03
    },
    {
      "period": "2017-01",
      "calcDuty": 167297297,
      "customsValue": 15913576367,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.05
    },
    {
      "period": "2017-02",
      "calcDuty": 155744919,
      "customsValue": 15405567468,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.01
    },
    {
      "period": "2017-03",
      "calcDuty": 171190958,
      "customsValue": 17707798661,
      "effectiveRatePct": 0.97
    },
    {
      "period": "2017-04",
      "calcDuty": 169332590,
      "customsValue": 16896326388,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1
    },
    {
      "period": "2017-05",
      "calcDuty": 186346350,
      "customsValue": 18570064212,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1
    },
    {
      "period": "2017-06",
      "calcDuty": 179408325,
      "customsValue": 18292130808,
      "effectiveRatePct": 0.98
    },
    {
      "period": "2017-07",
      "calcDuty": 182444559,
      "customsValue": 17916577370,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.02
    },
    {
      "period": "2017-08",
      "calcDuty": 185036835,
      "customsValue": 18064595008,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.02
    },
    {
      "period": "2017-09",
      "calcDuty": 176855142,
      "customsValue": 17704368675,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1
    },
    {
      "period": "2017-10",
      "calcDuty": 191651132,
      "customsValue": 18658524102,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.03
    },
    {
      "period": "2017-11",
      "calcDuty": 177303969,
      "customsValue": 17541396155,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.01
    },
    {
      "period": "2017-12",
      "calcDuty": 180555718,
      "customsValue": 17445048381,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.03
    },
    {
      "period": "2018-01",
      "calcDuty": 194810125,
      "customsValue": 18584032192,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.05
    },
    {
      "period": "2018-02",
      "calcDuty": 181372546,
      "customsValue": 17628148635,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.03
    },
    {
      "period": "2018-03",
      "calcDuty": 207628313,
      "customsValue": 19705190374,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.05
    },
    {
      "period": "2018-04",
      "calcDuty": 249367763,
      "customsValue": 19851815711,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.26
    },
    {
      "period": "2018-05",
      "calcDuty": 312337716,
      "customsValue": 20528651046,
      "effectiveRatePct": 1.52
    },
    {
      "period": "2018-06",
      "calcDuty": 544249214,
      "customsValue": 19284544516,
      "effectiveRatePct": 2.82
    },
    {
      "period": "2018-07",
      "calcDuty": 688183018,
      "customsValue": 19823880524,
      "effectiveRatePct": 3.47
    },
    {
      "period": "2018-08",
      "calcDuty": 716678610,
      "customsValue": 20272937638,
      "effectiveRatePct": 3.54
    },
    {
      "period": "2018-09",
      "calcDuty": 692806729,
      "customsValue": 18995109175,
      "effectiveRatePct": 3.65
    },
    {
      "period": "2018-10",
      "calcDuty": 902117051,
      "customsValue": 20818688321,
      "effectiveRatePct": 4.33
    },
    {
      "period": "2018-11",
      "calcDuty": 838383375,
      "customsValue": 19193410012,
      "effectiveRatePct": 4.37
    },
    {
      "period": "2018-12",
      "calcDuty": 832041009,
      "customsValue": 18764779913,
      "effectiveRatePct": 4.43
    },
    {
      "period": "2019-01",
      "calcDuty": 861634882,
      "customsValue": 19626789406,
      "effectiveRatePct": 4.39
    },
    {
      "period": "2019-02",
      "calcDuty": 682049325,
      "customsValue": 18484183178,
      "effectiveRatePct": 3.69
    },
    {
      "period": "2019-03",
      "calcDuty": 728416586,
      "customsValue": 20510463805,
      "effectiveRatePct": 3.55
    },
    {
      "period": "2019-04",
      "calcDuty": 747368124,
      "customsValue": 20270931519,
      "effectiveRatePct": 3.69
    },
    {
      "period": "2019-05",
      "calcDuty": 727834950,
      "customsValue": 20364968604,
      "effectiveRatePct": 3.57
    },
    {
      "period": "2019-06",
      "calcDuty": 729876928,
      "customsValue": 19455139303,
      "effectiveRatePct": 3.75
    },
    {
      "period": "2019-07",
      "calcDuty": 768594381,
      "customsValue": 20091482807,
      "effectiveRatePct": 3.83
    },
    {
      "period": "2019-08",
      "calcDuty": 745166084,
      "customsValue": 19866484441,
      "effectiveRatePct": 3.75
    },
    {
      "period": "2019-09",
      "calcDuty": 733883746,
      "customsValue": 18941268336,
      "effectiveRatePct": 3.87
    },
    {
      "period": "2019-10",
      "calcDuty": 720066950,
      "customsValue": 18792202410,
      "effectiveRatePct": 3.83
    },
    {
      "period": "2019-11",
      "calcDuty": 642351801,
      "customsValue": 17527178005,
      "effectiveRatePct": 3.66
    },
    {
      "period": "2019-12",
      "calcDuty": 664350872,
      "customsValue": 17448008901,
      "effectiveRatePct": 3.81
    },
    {
      "period": "2020-01",
      "calcDuty": 717342581,
      "customsValue": 18043453310,
      "effectiveRatePct": 3.98
    },
    {
      "period": "2020-02",
      "calcDuty": 563007613,
      "customsValue": 16647923313,
      "effectiveRatePct": 3.38
    },
    {
      "period": "2020-03",
      "calcDuty": 525870096,
      "customsValue": 17831781213,
      "effectiveRatePct": 2.95
    },
    {
      "period": "2020-04",
      "calcDuty": 580748083,
      "customsValue": 13682895945,
      "effectiveRatePct": 4.24
    },
    {
      "period": "2020-05",
      "calcDuty": 607880659,
      "customsValue": 13283919095,
      "effectiveRatePct": 4.58
    },
    {
      "period": "2020-06",
      "calcDuty": 591690616,
      "customsValue": 15084324854,
      "effectiveRatePct": 3.92
    },
    {
      "period": "2020-07",
      "calcDuty": 641901522,
      "customsValue": 16002147522,
      "effectiveRatePct": 4.01
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    {
      "period": "2020-08",
      "calcDuty": 647915546,
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      "effectiveRatePct": 4
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    {
      "period": "2020-09",
      "calcDuty": 652688013,
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      "effectiveRatePct": 3.99
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    {
      "period": "2020-10",
      "calcDuty": 673827645,
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      "effectiveRatePct": 3.96
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    {
      "period": "2020-11",
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      "effectiveRatePct": 3.95
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      "period": "2020-12",
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      "effectiveRatePct": 4.03
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    {
      "period": "2021-01",
      "calcDuty": 698204583,
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      "effectiveRatePct": 4.26
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    {
      "period": "2021-02",
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      "customsValue": 16028779147,
      "effectiveRatePct": 4.16
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      "period": "2021-03",
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      "effectiveRatePct": 4.19
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      "period": "2021-04",
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      "effectiveRatePct": 3.9
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      "period": "2021-05",
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      "period": "2021-06",
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      "period": "2022-04",
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      "period": "2022-09",
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