Building Materials Manufacturing worked example

Ceramic Shrinkage with shrinkage severity for the ceramic body or part of 3.5 score: a worked example

This worked example runs the ceramic shrinkage numbers for a tougher week than the baseline: shrinkage severity for the ceramic body or part of 3.5 score instead of the typical 7 score. Score shrinkage risk for ceramic products based on severity, occurrence, and detection.

The inputs for this scenario

  • Shrinkage severity for the ceramic body or part: 3.5 score (the input this scenario stresses; the baseline uses 7)
  • Shrinkage occurrence from recent firing history: 5 score (held at the documented default)
  • Shrinkage detection confidence before shipment: 6 score (held at the documented default)

Working through the calculation

  • The calculation starts from the formula this tool documents: Ceramic Shrinkage = severity × occurrence × detection.
  • Ceramic Shrinkage works out to 4.65 shrinkage risk score at these inputs, and this is the headline figure for the scenario.
  • Shrinkage severity for the ceramic body or part works out to 3.5 score at these inputs.
  • Shrinkage occurrence from recent firing history works out to 5 score at these inputs.
  • Shrinkage detection confidence before shipment works out to 6 score at these inputs.

How this compares with the baseline

  • Against the tool's baseline example, where shrinkage severity for the ceramic body or part sits at 7 score and the headline result is 6.05 shrinkage risk score, this scenario comes in 23.14% below the baseline at 4.65 shrinkage risk score.
  • Use it during process FMEAs, new-body qualification, or when triaging which kiln and forming issues to fix first. A result at this level usually justifies acting on the stressed input before touching anything else, because every other figure in the table is downstream of it.

Results at a glance

  • Ceramic Shrinkage: 4.65 shrinkage risk score (headline result)
  • Shrinkage severity for the ceramic body or part: 3.5 score
  • Shrinkage occurrence from recent firing history: 5 score
  • Shrinkage detection confidence before shipment: 6 score

Run it with your numbers

  • To rerun this with your own numbers, open the live Ceramic Shrinkage calculator, set shrinkage severity for the ceramic body or part to your actual value, and adjust the remaining inputs to match your operation.

Last reviewed 2026-05-12.