Make-Buy, Outsourcing & Network Design worked example

Capacity Outsourcing Gap with severity of unmet demand if the gap goes uncovered of 3 score: a worked example

Suppose severity of unmet demand if the gap goes uncovered falls to 3 score. This page works the full calculation at that level so you can see exactly which result moves and by how much. Estimate capacity outsourcing gap for make-buy, outsourcing and network design using production-ready inputs so teams can rank risks and decide which issue needs containment, controls, or escalation first.

The inputs for this scenario

  • Severity of unmet demand if the gap goes uncovered: 3 score (the input this scenario stresses; the baseline uses 6)
  • Likelihood the capacity shortfall occurs: 4 score (held at the documented default)
  • Ability to detect the gap before it bites: 3 score (held at the documented default)

Working through the calculation

  • The calculation starts from the formula this tool documents: Capacity outsourcing gap risk score = capacity outsourcing gap severity score × capacity outsourcing gap occurrence score × capacity outsourcing gap detection score.
  • Capacity outsourcing gap risk score works out to 3.35 score at these inputs, and this is the headline figure for the scenario.
  • Capacity outsourcing gap severity score works out to 3 score at these inputs.
  • Capacity outsourcing gap occurrence score works out to 4 score at these inputs.
  • Capacity outsourcing gap detection score works out to 3 score at these inputs.

How this compares with the baseline

  • Against the tool's baseline example, where severity of unmet demand if the gap goes uncovered sits at 6 score and the headline result is 4.55 score, this scenario comes in 26.37% below the baseline at 3.35 score.
  • It multiplies severity, occurrence, and detection scores into a single capacity-gap risk priority number so shortfalls can be ranked. When the numbers land here, the stressed input is the lever to work; the walkthrough above shows exactly how much each output recovers as it climbs back toward the baseline.

Results at a glance

  • Capacity outsourcing gap risk score: 3.35 score (headline result)
  • Capacity outsourcing gap severity score: 3 score
  • Capacity outsourcing gap occurrence score: 4 score
  • Capacity outsourcing gap detection score: 3 score

Run it with your numbers

  • To rerun this with your own numbers, open the live Capacity Outsourcing Gap calculator, set severity of unmet demand if the gap goes uncovered to your actual value, and adjust the remaining inputs to match your operation.

Last reviewed 2026-05-12.