Hydrogen Electrolyzer & Fuel Cell Manufacturing worked example

Supplier Shortage Risk with impact severity if this supplier misses of 20 score: a worked example in hydrogen electrolyzer & fuel cell manufacturing

Push impact severity if this supplier misses up to 20 score and the picture changes. This example computes every intermediate figure at that operating point. Use it when a procurement lead or supply chain manager is prioritizing dual-source qualification across membranes, CCMs, bipolar plates, gas diffusion media, gaskets, and end plates and needs a comparable risk score.

The inputs for this scenario

  • Impact severity if this supplier misses: 20 score (raised for this scenario; the documented default is 8)
  • Occurrence likelihood (on-time miss frequency): 4 score (unchanged)
  • Detection lead time before the line stops: 5 score (unchanged)

Working through the calculation

  • Applying the documented formula (Weighted shortage risk score = severity × 0.40 + occurrence × 0.35 + detection × 0.25) to the inputs above produces each figure below.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 10.65 score for weighted shortage risk score, the number this scenario is built around.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 20 score for impact severity.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 4 score for on-time miss likelihood.
  • At this operating point the engine returns 5 score for detection lead time.

How this compares with the baseline

  • Against the tool's baseline example, where impact severity if this supplier misses sits at 8 score and the headline result is 5.85 score, this scenario comes in 82.05% above the baseline at 10.65 score.
  • It computes one weighted risk score from severity (40%), occurrence (35%), and detection (25%) so suppliers can be ranked on a common scale. The value of this scenario is the size of the gap it exposes: that gap, priced out over a year, is the budget you can justify spending to close it.

Results at a glance

  • Weighted shortage risk score: 10.65 score (headline result)
  • Impact severity: 20 score
  • On-time miss likelihood: 4 score
  • Detection lead time: 5 score

Run it with your numbers

  • Every input above is editable in the live Supplier Shortage Risk calculator, which recalculates instantly and can be shared with the inputs intact.

Last reviewed 2026-05-12.