Contract Manufacturing, Job Shop Quoting & Make-to-Order calculator
Customer Concentration Risk Calculator
Score the risk of losing one customer, using 1 to 10 ratings for impact, disruption likelihood and replacement difficulty. The revenue share turns that score into the sales value at stake.
What this calculator does
- Score the risk of losing your largest customer, weighted by its revenue share, against a threshold you set.
Formula used
- Risk score = impact score × disruption likelihood score × replacement difficulty score
- Risk index = risk score ÷ 10
- Revenue-weighted risk score = risk score × revenue share ÷ 100
- Highest factor share = MAX(impact, likelihood, replacement difficulty) ÷ 30 × 100
- Points over threshold = MAX(risk score − threshold, 0)
Inputs explained
- Customer Impact Score: How hard losing this customer would hit revenue.
- Disruption Likelihood Score: How likely this customer is to cut or leave.
- Replacement Difficulty Score: How hard the lost revenue is to replace.
- Revenue Share: Share of total sales this customer represents.
- Risk Threshold Score: Score at which you would act on the risk.
How to use the result
- Best suited to annual review of customer concentration, setting diversification targets for the year, pricing work for a dominant customer.
- A high factor can hide behind two low ones, so read the highest factor share too. One customer only: related customers under one parent are not grouped.
Current U.S. benchmarks
- The U.S. prime lending rate is 7.00% (Federal Reserve via FRED, 2026-10-02). Payback and financing math should start from today's rate, not a remembered one.
Common questions
- What does the concentration risk score measure? It multiplies three 1 to 10 judgments: the impact of losing the customer, the chance of a disruption, and how hard they are to replace. Use it to rank customers, not to predict a loss.
- How should I pick the threshold score? Pick the score at which you would act, such as starting a diversification push. Review it yearly, because a growing customer changes the score and its revenue weight.
- Why show a revenue-weighted score as well? A 9 on a customer worth 3% of sales and a 9 on one worth 50% need different responses. Weighting scales the score by the sales at stake so the two rank apart.
- What is the highest factor share? It shows the largest of the three scores as its share of the 30 point maximum. A 9 impact prints 30%, flagging impact as the factor to examine first.
Last reviewed 2026-10-01.