MFG Calcs Signals

Observed Effective Rate vs Modeled Reshoring Line

Name: MFG Calcs Reshoring Break-Even Line
Creator: MFG Calcs
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Compare a modeled indexed crossover under assumed base-year price parity with the observed effective calculated-duty rate.

What this Signal shows

Compare an observed effective calculated-duty rate with a modeled indexed crossover while keeping the base-year parity assumption and non-customs scope explicit.

Cadence: Refreshed automatically as the tariff and producer price data update.
An indicative signal that assumes base-year price parity (no domestic dollar-per-unit cost exists); import unit values shift with product mix. USITC and BLS public data. Full board at /signals/reshoring-break-even.
Free to download as All families (CSV), Full board (JSON), Methodology (JSON) under CC BY 4.0.

Last reviewed 2026-10-01.